Preliminary Probabilistic Risk Assessment for the DragonFly mission in support of Nuclear Safety Databook
ID: 80NSSC24883200QType: Special Notice
Overview

Buyer

NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE ADMINISTRATIONNATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE ADMINISTRATIONNASA SHARED SERVICES CENTERSTENNIS SPACE CENTER, MS, 39529, USA

NAICS

Research and Development in the Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences (except Nanotechnology and Biotechnology) (541715)

PSC

COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT R&D SERVICES; COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT; BASIC RESEARCH (AB11)

Original Source

https://sam.gov/opp/9a04df4d887245a9b9f765a97fe7bf07/view
Timeline
    Description

    NASA's National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) is seeking a contractor to conduct a Preliminary Probabilistic Risk Assessment for the DragonFly mission, specifically in support of the Nuclear Safety Databook. The objective of this procurement is to employ Bayesian statistical methods and reliability models to analyze launch scenarios, assess failure probabilities, and develop a comprehensive databook, particularly focusing on Chapter 8 regarding Accident Probabilities, which is critical for nuclear launch approval processes. This contract will be awarded on a sole-source basis to ASCA, INC, as they are the only provider capable of fulfilling these specialized requirements, with performance expected at NASA's Kennedy Space Center. Interested organizations must submit their capabilities and qualifications in writing to Sara Jusino-Terry by 12 p.m. Central Standard Time on September 20, 2024, to be considered for this opportunity.

    Point(s) of Contact
    Sara Jusino-Terry
    sara.a.jusino-terry@nasa.gov
    Files
    Title
    Posted
    SATPC0036715 TAB 04 4 SOW.pdf
    The document outlines a Statement of Work for conducting probabilistic reliability risk analysis services related to launch vehicles, specifically to ensure compliance with NASA's mission requirements, including those pertaining to nuclear missions. The contractor is tasked with employing Bayesian statistical methods and reliability models to analyze various launch scenarios associated with the DragonFly mission, using extensive historical flight data to assess failure probabilities and modes. The work also aims to create a databook for launch nuclear safety, particularly a Chapter 8 on Accident Probabilities, as part of the necessary documentation for nuclear launch approval processes under the Presidential Memo NSPM-20. The project includes specific baseline and optional tasks detailed in tables, with a timeline for deliverables ranging from one to three months post-contract authority. Final reports must include comprehensive documentation and analytical tools to allow the Government to replicate the results. NASA's designated technical contacts for this contract, David Piryk and Jacob Roth, are also listed for further inquiries.
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