Probabilistic 3D Outer Zone Radiation Belt Model
ID: SF24B-T006Type: Phase I
Overview

Topic

Probabilistic 3D Outer Zone Radiation Belt Model

Agency

Department of DefenseN/A

Program

Type: STTRPhase: Phase IYear: 2024
Timeline
  1. 1
    Release Apr 17, 2024 12:00 AM
  2. 2
    Open May 15, 2024 12:00 AM
  3. 3
    Next Submission Due Jun 12, 2024 12:00 AM
  4. 4
    Close Jun 12, 2024 12:00 AM
Description

The Department of Defense (DOD) is seeking proposals for a Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) program focused on the topic of "Probabilistic 3D Outer Zone Radiation Belt Model". The objective of this research is to create an accurate predictive 3-dimensional radiation belt model that can provide actionable forecasts for radiation hazards and "All Clear" conditions. The model should be able to forecast flux levels of electrons at a range of energies from 500 keV to >2MeV for up to 7 days, with probabilities and confidence levels. The outer-zone radiation belts are highly variable and dynamic populations of energetic electrons that can penetrate satellite surfaces and cause damaging discharges. The development of this model is crucial for resilient satellite operations and to assess the threat levels of the radiation belt environment. The research will be conducted in two phases, with Phase I focusing on demonstrating the capability to specify hazardous radiation belt fluxes using operational data, and Phase II aiming to develop a real-time model with extended forecast capabilities. If successful, Phase III will involve further validation and transitioning the capability to operations. The project duration and funding specifics can be found in the solicitation notice on the Defense SBIR/STTR Opportunities website.

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